Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which historical storms score highest for similarity of path.

How matches are scored

Matches are scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits/Cuba shelf on approach — a narrow, shallow area that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box.

clear

Comparing to

King (1950)

peak 4 · FL impact 4.

Neutral 4FL impact Cross-Peninsula Track Major Hurricane (Cat 3+) Rapid Intensification
Formed
1950-10-13
Dissipated
1950-10-20
Peak wind
115 kt
Lifetime category
4
Min pressure
955 mb (lifetime)
Florida date
1950-10-18
Approach
atlantic
FL regions
SE4 NE1
Center landfall
yes (1)
ENSO (ASO ONI)
-0.39
Peak surge (FL)
none exists for this era

Surge: no curated record, and none is likely to exist. Reliable landfall-zone surge observation generally predates neither the modern gauge network nor NHC Tropical Cyclone Reports for storms of this era; surge comparisons on this site skew modern as a result (disclosed on the methodology page).

Top 6 Top 20 All matches
Every storm since 1851 is included -- tap for how older matches are weighted

Storms before 1968 (radar/satellite) rank lower by a continuous confidence discount, not a hard cutoff: 1944-1967 (aircraft reconnaissance) counts at 75% of its raw match strength, 1911-1943 (station data + ship reports) at 50%, and pre-1911 (ship reports and land stations only) at 30% -- illustrative weights, not a published figure, matching the same four eras disclosed on the Zone Lab. A strong enough old match can still surface; look for "era confidence: N%" in that card's reasons.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 125 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

  • King (1950)
  • Cleo (1964)
  • Florida Straits corridor

Track colors below are always: teal = King, orange = the comparison storm named in each card -- shaded darker where that storm was stronger at that point, lighter where it was weaker, so intensity along the path reads without losing track of which line is which. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

View King and these matches in the Zone Lab tool

View these storms on the Track Map

Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021949 (1949) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3.4 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL091945 (1945) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 3.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL031871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111933 (1933) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Lake Okeechobee (1928) peak 5 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011928 (1928) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.8 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 4.6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL081906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011915 (1915) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051910 (1910) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051941 (1941) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.4 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Labor Day (1935) peak 5 · FL impact 5 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL051878 (1878) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041894 (1894) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL091947 (1947) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL011898 (1898) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031903 (1903) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041880 (1880) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3.5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021939 (1939) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051876 (1876) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL081948 (1948) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061946 (1946) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021899 (1899) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match -0.8 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL131944 (1944) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3.3 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041886 (1886) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.7 of 8 took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021929 (1929) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL071865 (1865) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.7 of 8 same month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021906 (1906) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041947 (1947) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031891 (1891) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL091948 (1948) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL101924 (1924) peak 5 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Sea Islands (1893) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 2.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Great Miami (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL061882 (1882) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051873 (1873) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051936 (1936) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051933 (1933) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031888 (1888) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Twin Key West (I) (1870) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Tampa Bay (1921) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.5 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031932 (1932) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, same ENSO phase, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061871 (1871) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041896 (1896) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Great Carolina (1854) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL071898 (1898) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Georges (1998) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021877 (1877) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.1 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match -1.3 of 8 similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071888 (1888) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061874 (1874) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 5.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Betsy (1965) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
AL031873 (1873) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL081859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011945 (1945) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051924 (1924) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041915 (1915) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL071935 (1935) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Key West (1861) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Middle Florida (1852) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 same month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase
AL011896 (1896) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match -0.6 of 8 rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041917 (1917) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Great Middle Florida (1851) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Great Mobile (1852) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL111909 (1909) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL061906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL101926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 3.2 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Southeastern States (1856) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021882 (1882) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.3 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier
AL021919 (1919) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Galveston (1867) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL141916 (1916) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031904 (1904) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071894 (1894) peak 2 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111880 (1880) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Twin Key West (II) (1870) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 rapid intensifier
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 same month, category within 1, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021852 (1852) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011885 (1885) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021916 (1916) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 category within 1, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031912 (1912) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)

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4Cleo 1964 score 6.1 | same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967) 4AL021949 1949 score 5 | same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967) 4AL091945 1945 score 5.2 | adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)

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