About | Hurricane Intelligence Florida

Hurricane Intelligence Florida is a one-person project — built and maintained by a Central Florida resident who got tired of hurricane-and-ENSO arguments getting settled by whoever remembered loudest.

This is never a forecast, and it never will be. Every historical rate, analog match, and zone-overlay pattern on this site describes what happened in the past, not a prediction of what any current storm will do. For actual watches, warnings, and forecast guidance, use the National Hurricane Center.

No credentials, and no pretending otherwise

I'm not a meteorologist. I don't hold a weather-related credential of any kind — I barely made it through high school, if we're being honest about it. What I have instead is forty years of an always-on curiosity about weather. I'm not the person who reads the headline that a storm happened somewhere and moves on — I click through, I go find the actual data. Watching radar. Tracking the disorganized "blobs" days before they're anything official. Digging through historical records for context nobody else bothered to look up. I spent time watching — and for a while chasing — tornadoes near the eastern edge of Tornado Alley. I've done weather on the radio, including a stretch forecasting for a network that covered stations from Alaska to the Virgin Islands. None of that makes me a credentialed authority, and this site doesn't claim to be one.

That distinction matters more than it looks. A forecast is a claim about what a storm is going to do, and it's fair to ask what qualifies someone to make that claim. This site never makes that claim — not once, anywhere, about any storm. What it asks you to trust is much smaller and much easier to check: that a historical number is pulled from a named NOAA source correctly, that a join between two datasets is documented, that a pattern in 175 years of record is described accurately. You don't need a meteorology degree to get that right, and you don't need to take my word that I did — the Methodology page shows the work, and the data's downloadable if you want to check it yourself.

The argument that started it

This whole thing exists because of one specific disagreement: how many Florida hurricane-impact seasons actually happened in each ENSO phase. Nobody in that conversation had a real number — just recollection, and recollection is exactly the thing this site was built to stop relying on. Rather than let it stay an argument, it seemed easier to just build the dataset and settle it for good.

Who's behind it

Hurricane Intelligence Florida is a project of JnGmedia, a small independent outfit — same footer credit you'll see linked from every page on this site.