Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025
Analog Finder
Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.
Compare a Real Storm's Track
Pick a storm to see which historical storms score highest for similarity of path.
How matches are scored
Matches are scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits/Cuba shelf on approach — a narrow, shallow area that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box.
Describe a Hypothetical Scenario
Pick the traits you're curious about, and we'll find historical storms that match.
How matches are scored
Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.
Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.
Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.