Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which historical storms score highest for similarity of path.

How matches are scored

Matches are scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits/Cuba shelf on approach — a narrow, shallow area that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box.

clear

Comparing to

Georges (1998)

peak 4 · FL impact 2.

La Nina 2FL impact Major Hurricane (Cat 3+) Rapid Intensification
Formed
1998-09-15
Dissipated
1998-10-01
Peak wind
135 kt
Lifetime category
4
Min pressure
937 mb (lifetime)
Florida date
1998-09-25
Approach
atlantic
FL regions
SW2
Center landfall
yes (1)
ENSO (ASO ONI)
-1.31
Peak surge (FL)
not yet curated

Surge: no curated record yet. An NHC Tropical Cyclone Report exists for storms of this era; this one is awaiting verification against it. Values are only shown after being checked against an NHC source (see methodology).

Top 6 Top 20 All matches
Every storm since 1851 is included -- tap for how older matches are weighted

Storms before 1968 (radar/satellite) rank lower by a continuous confidence discount, not a hard cutoff: 1944-1967 (aircraft reconnaissance) counts at 75% of its raw match strength, 1911-1943 (station data + ship reports) at 50%, and pre-1911 (ship reports and land stations only) at 30% -- illustrative weights, not a published figure, matching the same four eras disclosed on the Zone Lab. A strong enough old match can still surface; look for "era confidence: N%" in that card's reasons.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 127 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

  • Georges (1998)
  • Great Middle Florida (1851)
  • Florida Straits corridor

Track colors below are always: teal = Georges, orange = the comparison storm named in each card -- shaded darker where that storm was stronger at that point, lighter where it was weaker, so intensity along the path reads without losing track of which line is which. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

View Georges and these matches in the Zone Lab tool

View these storms on the Track Map

Great Middle Florida (1851) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match -0.8 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011896 (1896) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -1.2 of 8 rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL051924 (1924) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 same month, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL021929 (1929) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 2.7 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL071935 (1935) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Great Mobile (1852) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041915 (1915) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Southeastern States (1856) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match -1 of 8 somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051936 (1936) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL061882 (1882) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021899 (1899) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.5 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Middle Florida (1852) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -1.1 of 8 adjacent month, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2.5 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Key West (1861) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031932 (1932) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL091947 (1947) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041917 (1917) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Great Miami (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.5 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL011945 (1945) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Labor Day (1935) peak 5 · FL impact 5 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 2.5 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051941 (1941) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 1.6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL021919 (1919) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041887 (1887) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.6 of 8 took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061871 (1871) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041896 (1896) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match -0.6 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL031903 (1903) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071888 (1888) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041886 (1886) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match -1.2 of 8 somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021939 (1939) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041880 (1880) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031873 (1873) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL081906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041947 (1947) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051878 (1878) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Betsy (1965) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL011898 (1898) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL061946 (1946) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061874 (1874) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051910 (1910) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031888 (1888) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL131944 (1944) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.8 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Tampa Bay (1921) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021882 (1882) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021877 (1877) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL011928 (1928) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051933 (1933) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041894 (1894) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111933 (1933) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.7 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
King (1950) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 4.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031891 (1891) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4.9 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021949 (1949) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL081859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL091945 (1945) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL031871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.2 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Lake Okeechobee (1928) peak 5 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
AL021916 (1916) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 category within 1, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051873 (1873) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL101924 (1924) peak 5 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.4 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier
AL011915 (1915) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL081948 (1948) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
AL141916 (1916) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL111909 (1909) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match -0.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Twin Key West (I) (1870) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051876 (1876) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
AL101926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier
AL091948 (1948) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3.8 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Great Carolina (1854) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL071898 (1898) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Galveston (1867) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Sea Islands (1893) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021852 (1852) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031912 (1912) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 same month, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031904 (1904) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071894 (1894) peak 2 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011885 (1885) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111880 (1880) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Twin Key West (II) (1870) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021906 (1906) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031911 (1911) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071865 (1865) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)

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3Great Middle Florida 1851 score 1.2 | adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911) 2AL011896 1896 score 1 | rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911) 3Kate 1985 score 3.7 | category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida

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