Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which historical storms score highest for similarity of path.

How matches are scored

Matches are scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits/Cuba shelf on approach — a narrow, shallow area that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box.

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Comparing to

AL041896 (1896)

peak 3 · FL impact 3.

Pre-ONI 3FL impact Major Hurricane (Cat 3+) Match confidence: low
Formed
1896-09-22
Dissipated
1896-09-30
Peak wind
110 kt
Lifetime category
3
Min pressure
960 mb (lifetime)
Florida date
1896-09-29
Approach
gulf
FL regions
NW3 NE3
Center landfall
yes (1)
ENSO (ASO ONI)
pre-1950, no ONI
Peak surge (FL)
none exists for this era

Surge: no curated record, and none is likely to exist. Reliable landfall-zone surge observation generally predates neither the modern gauge network nor NHC Tropical Cyclone Reports for storms of this era; surge comparisons on this site skew modern as a result (disclosed on the methodology page).

Top 6 Top 20 All matches
Every storm since 1851 is included -- tap for how older matches are weighted

Storms before 1968 (radar/satellite) rank lower by a continuous confidence discount, not a hard cutoff: 1944-1967 (aircraft reconnaissance) counts at 75% of its raw match strength, 1911-1943 (station data + ship reports) at 50%, and pre-1911 (ship reports and land stations only) at 30% -- illustrative weights, not a published figure, matching the same four eras disclosed on the Zone Lab. A strong enough old match can still surface; look for "era confidence: N%" in that card's reasons.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 127 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

  • AL041896 (1896)
  • AL061882 (1882)
  • Florida Straits corridor

Track colors below are always: teal = AL041896, orange = the comparison storm named in each card -- shaded darker where that storm was stronger at that point, lighter where it was weaker, so intensity along the path reads without losing track of which line is which. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

View AL041896 and these matches in the Zone Lab tool

View these storms on the Track Map

AL061882 (1882) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL021886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match -0.8 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Tampa Bay (1921) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041886 (1886) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match -0.8 of 8 gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL061874 (1874) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 same month, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL071888 (1888) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061871 (1871) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 same month, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL061946 (1946) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2.6 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL011945 (1945) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL081859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Middle Florida (1852) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041915 (1915) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL111933 (1933) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL131944 (1944) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2.6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051910 (1910) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, same peak category, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL041871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Great Middle Florida (1851) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011928 (1928) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051924 (1924) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 same month, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL021899 (1899) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match -1.2 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Key West (1861) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.9 of 8 adjacent month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031873 (1873) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041880 (1880) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051878 (1878) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Labor Day (1935) peak 5 · FL impact 5 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL071935 (1935) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051933 (1933) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Georges (1998) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021949 (1949) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Lake Okeechobee (1928) peak 5 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011898 (1898) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051873 (1873) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL081906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011896 (1896) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.2 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031888 (1888) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Great Mobile (1852) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051941 (1941) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL021919 (1919) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041947 (1947) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Southeastern States (1856) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011915 (1915) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031932 (1932) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 adjacent month, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL041894 (1894) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, same peak category, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031903 (1903) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL021939 (1939) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031891 (1891) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021929 (1929) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
King (1950) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051936 (1936) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match -0.1 of 8 category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Great Miami (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Betsy (1965) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL091945 (1945) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.9 of 8 same month, category within 1, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041917 (1917) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL091947 (1947) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1.5 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL101924 (1924) peak 5 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, similar Straits approach angle
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021877 (1877) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 same month, gulf approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051876 (1876) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month
Sea Islands (1893) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021916 (1916) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.9 of 8 same peak category, gulf approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3.5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL071898 (1898) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041887 (1887) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.8 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, gulf approach
Great Carolina (1854) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach
AL081948 (1948) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1
AL021882 (1882) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.7 of 8 same month, same peak category, gulf approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111909 (1909) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.5 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, gulf approach, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL101926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Twin Key West (I) (1870) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071865 (1865) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 2.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL091948 (1948) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 2.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, gulf approach, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL141916 (1916) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031912 (1912) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, gulf approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031911 (1911) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 category within 1, gulf approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Galveston (1867) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071894 (1894) peak 2 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021852 (1852) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021906 (1906) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 category within 1, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031904 (1904) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011885 (1885) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111880 (1880) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Twin Key West (II) (1870) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)

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4AL061882 1882 score 1.7 | adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911) 4Idalia 2023 score 6 | adjacent month, category within 1, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida 1Debby 2024 score 5.7 | adjacent month, gulf approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida

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