Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which historical storms score highest for similarity of path.

How matches are scored

Matches are scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits/Cuba shelf on approach — a narrow, shallow area that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box.

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Comparing to

Betsy (1965)

peak 4 · FL impact 3.

El Nino 3FL impact Major Hurricane (Cat 3+) Rapid Intensification
Formed
1965-08-27
Dissipated
1965-09-13
Peak wind
120 kt
Lifetime category
4
Min pressure
942 mb (lifetime)
Florida date
1965-09-08
Approach
atlantic
FL regions
SE3 SW3
Center landfall
yes (1)
ENSO (ASO ONI)
+1.85
Peak surge (FL)
none exists for this era

Surge: no curated record, and none is likely to exist. Reliable landfall-zone surge observation generally predates neither the modern gauge network nor NHC Tropical Cyclone Reports for storms of this era; surge comparisons on this site skew modern as a result (disclosed on the methodology page).

Top 6 Top 20 All matches
Every storm since 1851 is included -- tap for how older matches are weighted

Storms before 1968 (radar/satellite) rank lower by a continuous confidence discount, not a hard cutoff: 1944-1967 (aircraft reconnaissance) counts at 75% of its raw match strength, 1911-1943 (station data + ship reports) at 50%, and pre-1911 (ship reports and land stations only) at 30% -- illustrative weights, not a published figure, matching the same four eras disclosed on the Zone Lab. A strong enough old match can still surface; look for "era confidence: N%" in that card's reasons.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 126 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

  • Betsy (1965)
  • Andrew (1992)
  • Florida Straits corridor

Track colors below are always: teal = Betsy, orange = the comparison storm named in each card -- shaded darker where that storm was stronger at that point, lighter where it was weaker, so intensity along the path reads without losing track of which line is which. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

View Betsy and these matches in the Zone Lab tool

View these storms on the Track Map

Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 1.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL031891 (1891) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match -0.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071935 (1935) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Key West (1861) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.6 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021919 (1919) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Great Mobile (1852) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match -1.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL101924 (1924) peak 5 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031888 (1888) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031932 (1932) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Twin Key West (I) (1870) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase, somewhat similar Straits wobble, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL041947 (1947) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021906 (1906) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.7 of 8 atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 1.9 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL051933 (1933) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL071865 (1865) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -1.1 of 8 adjacent month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021929 (1929) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 2.9 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL081948 (1948) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL091947 (1947) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4.8 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL091948 (1948) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051936 (1936) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL051873 (1873) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051876 (1876) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Great Middle Florida (1851) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.7 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL081859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL011896 (1896) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match -0.8 of 8 rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051941 (1941) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Labor Day (1935) peak 5 · FL impact 5 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2.2 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL131944 (1944) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2.6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Georges (1998) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021899 (1899) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match -0.3 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041894 (1894) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.3 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL091945 (1945) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.3 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Great Miami (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.6 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Tampa Bay (1921) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL081906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041915 (1915) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL061946 (1946) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061906 (1906) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match -0.9 of 8 similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Southeastern States (1856) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match -0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051878 (1878) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041896 (1896) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL061882 (1882) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031903 (1903) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL051910 (1910) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.8 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011945 (1945) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041886 (1886) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match -0.4 of 8 took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, category within 1, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL061874 (1874) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051924 (1924) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.8 of 8 same month, took a broadly similar path near Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL071888 (1888) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
King (1950) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
AL021949 (1949) peak 4 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Middle Florida (1852) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.1 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4.2 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021916 (1916) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.4 of 8 category within 1, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011898 (1898) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021939 (1939) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 8 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
AL041877 (1877) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier
AL041917 (1917) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2.1 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Lake Okeechobee (1928) peak 5 · FL impact 4 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL061871 (1871) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 same month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
AL011928 (1928) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL111933 (1933) peak 4 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.7 of 2 · trait match 1.1 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
AL021882 (1882) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8 same month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL101926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2.7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL111909 (1909) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 0.8 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4.5 of 8 same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier
AL011926 (1926) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.5 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2.3 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 75% (1944-1967)
Great Carolina (1854) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.8 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011915 (1915) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL071898 (1898) peak 4 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Galveston (1867) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Sea Islands (1893) peak 3 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041871 (1871) peak 3 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031859 (1859) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021852 (1852) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1.2 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL141916 (1916) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031912 (1912) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 same month, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL031904 (1904) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL071894 (1894) peak 2 · FL impact 3 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL011885 (1885) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL041880 (1880) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL111880 (1880) peak 0 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
Twin Key West (II) (1870) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.9 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL021877 (1877) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031873 (1873) peak 1 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.6 of 8 same month, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)
AL031911 (1911) peak 2 · FL impact 1 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.5 of 8 adjacent month, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)
AL011886 (1886) peak 2 · FL impact 2 pre-1950 · reconstructed track near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0.3 of 8 rapid intensifier, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911)

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5Andrew 1992 score 8.1 | adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida 3AL031891 1891 score 2 | adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 30% (pre-1911) 2AL071935 1935 score 2.3 | atlantic approach, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida, era confidence: 50% (1911-1943)

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