Hurricane Intelligence Florida
Hurricane Intelligence Florida: Florida impacts and ENSO, 1851 to present. A JnGmedia property.

Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025

Analog Finder

Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.

Compare a Real Storm's Track

Pick a storm to see which others ran a similar path, scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits / Cuba shelf on approach, a narrow shallow shelf that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box. Defaults to storms since 1950, where positions come from direct aircraft/satellite tracking rather than reconstructed reports.

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Comparing to King (1950) — peak 4 · FL impact 4.

Since 1950 Before 1950 All years (1851-2025)
Top 6 Top 20 All matches

Showing storms tracked directly by aircraft and satellite (1950+), the era where a track-shape match is most trustworthy. See all years for the full historical picture, including some striking older matches.

Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.

Showing 43 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.

Track colors below are always: teal = King, orange = the comparison storm named in each card. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.

Cleo (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Jeanne (2004) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Irma (2017) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Frances (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Donna (1960) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
David (1979) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Easy (1950) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Irene (1999) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Dora (1964) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Charley (2004) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Alma (1966) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Ian (2022) peak 5 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Matthew (2016) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Erin (1995) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Debby (2024) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Isbell (1964) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Hazel (1953) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Andrew (1992) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Gladys (1968) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same month, same ENSO phase, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Milton (2024) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Wilma (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Idalia (2023) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Georges (1998) peak 4 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sally (2020) peak 2 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Helene (2024) peak 4 · FL impact 4 near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Floyd (1987) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same month, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Inez (1966) peak 5 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8 same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Betsy (1965) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8 adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Katrina (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
Elena (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Ivan (2004) peak 5 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Hermine (2016) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase
Dennis (2005) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Baker (1950) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Kate (1985) peak 3 · FL impact 2 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Rita (2005) peak 5 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Florence (1953) peak 3 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Michael (2018) peak 5 · FL impact 5 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8 same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
Opal (1995) peak 4 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8 same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
Eloise (1975) peak 3 · FL impact 3 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier
Flossy (1956) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8 adjacent month, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
Earl (1998) peak 2 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8 adjacent month, rapid intensifier
Agnes (1972) peak 1 · FL impact 1 near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8 rapid intensifier

Describe a Hypothetical Scenario

Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.

Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.

Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.

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