Fingerprint matching | 128 storms | 1851-2025
Analog Finder
Two ways in: compare a real storm's track against history, or describe a hypothetical scenario. Analogs are context, never forecasts.
Compare a Real Storm's Track
Pick a storm to see which others ran a similar path, scored two genuinely different ways: how close the tracks actually ran to each other near Florida, and how each storm handled the Florida Straits / Cuba shelf on approach, a narrow shallow shelf that tends to interrupt intensification and produce more erratic short-term heading changes than the deep open Gulf or Atlantic. Both scores show separately on every card, so the ranking is never a black box. Defaults to storms since 1950, where positions come from direct aircraft/satellite tracking rather than reconstructed reports.
Comparing to King (1950) — peak 4 · FL impact 4.
Storms before 1950 predate aircraft and satellite tracking; their positions are reconstructed from ship and coastal reports, so a track-shape match here carries more positional uncertainty than a modern-era one, even when the visual overlap looks striking.
Ranked by near-Florida path first (how close the two tracks actually ran to each other once near the state), then by Straits/Cuba approach (did each handle the shallow shelf the same way on the way in), then by trait match. These answer genuinely different questions -- a storm can wobble identically on approach and still land 300 miles apart, or vice versa -- so they are shown separately, never blended into one number.
Showing 125 matches out of every candidate that scored above zero in this range -- watch the near-Florida number taper toward the bottom of the list; that decay is the ranking actually working, not an artifact.
- King (1950)
- Cleo (1964)
- Florida Straits corridor
Track colors below are always: teal = King, orange = the comparison storm named in each card. On desktop these show as compact thumbnails, three per row; being vector maps they stay crisp at any size. Click a storm's name to open its own full-size record and track.
Cleo (1964)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL021949 (1949)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL091945 (1945)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Jeanne (2004)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL031871 (1871)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL111933 (1933)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Lake Okeechobee (1928)
peak 5 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL041871 (1871)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Irma (2017)
peak 5 · FL impact 4
near-Florida path 1.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011928 (1928)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011926 (1926)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Frances (2004)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 1.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Donna (1960)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL081906 (1906)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011915 (1915)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL051910 (1910)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL051941 (1941)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Labor Day (1935)
peak 5 · FL impact 5
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
David (1979)
peak 5 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL051878 (1878)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL041894 (1894)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL091947 (1947)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same month, ran very close to the same path across Florida
AL011898 (1898)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Easy (1950)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, ran very close to the same path across Florida
Irene (1999)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031903 (1903)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041880 (1880)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Dora (1964)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Charley (2004)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.6 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same peak category, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021939 (1939)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051876 (1876)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL081948 (1948)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061946 (1946)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021899 (1899)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL131944 (1944)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Alma (1966)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Ian (2022)
peak 5 · FL impact 4
near-Florida path 1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041886 (1886)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8
took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021929 (1929)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL071865 (1865)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same month, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021906 (1906)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041947 (1947)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.9 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Matthew (2016)
peak 5 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Erin (1995)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031891 (1891)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL091948 (1948)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Debby (2024)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL101924 (1924)
peak 5 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sea Islands (1893)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Isbell (1964)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Great Miami (1926)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061882 (1882)
peak 4 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 1.2 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051873 (1873)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051936 (1936)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL051933 (1933)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.8 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031888 (1888)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Twin Key West (I) (1870)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Hazel (1953)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Tampa Bay (1921)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL031932 (1932)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 1.1 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Andrew (1992)
peak 5 · FL impact 5
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.7 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Gladys (1968)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, same ENSO phase, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061871 (1871)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL041896 (1896)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Great Carolina (1854)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.7 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Milton (2024)
peak 5 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Wilma (2005)
peak 5 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL071898 (1898)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.6 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Idalia (2023)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Georges (1998)
peak 4 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Sally (2020)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021877 (1877)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
adjacent month, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Helene (2024)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
near-Florida path 0.5 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL021886 (1886)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1.4 of 2 · trait match 0 of 8
similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL071888 (1888)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Floyd (1987)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same month, somewhat similar Straits wobble, took a broadly similar path near Florida
AL061874 (1874)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, rapid intensifier, took a broadly similar path near Florida
Inez (1966)
peak 5 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.3 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Betsy (1965)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Katrina (2005)
peak 5 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0.4 of 2 · Straits approach 0.2 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
category within 1, atlantic approach, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
AL031873 (1873)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
adjacent month
AL081859 (1859)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.3 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, rapid intensifier
AL011945 (1945)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
rapid intensifier
AL051924 (1924)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
adjacent month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL041915 (1915)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
AL071935 (1935)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach
Key West (1861)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0.2 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Elena (1985)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Ivan (2004)
peak 5 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0.1 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Middle Florida (1852)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same month, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Hermine (2016)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, same ENSO phase
AL011896 (1896)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, similar Straits approach angle
AL041917 (1917)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1.3 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Dennis (2005)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same peak category, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Great Middle Florida (1851)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 1 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble
Great Mobile (1852)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
category within 1, similar Florida Straits wobble
Baker (1950)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Kate (1985)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.9 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL111909 (1909)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, similar Straits approach angle
Rita (2005)
peak 5 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.8 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
AL061906 (1906)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, similar Straits approach angle
AL101926 (1926)
peak 4 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.6 of 2 · trait match 7 of 8
same month, same peak category, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier, similar Florida Straits wobble
Florence (1953)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits approach angle
Southeastern States (1856)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.5 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble
AL021882 (1882)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, somewhat similar Straits wobble
Michael (2018)
peak 5 · FL impact 5
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0.4 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, category within 1, rapid intensifier, somewhat similar Straits wobble
Galveston (1867)
peak 3 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 6 of 8
same month, category within 1, atlantic approach, rapid intensifier
Opal (1995)
peak 4 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 5 of 8
same month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
AL021919 (1919)
peak 4 · FL impact 4
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
adjacent month, same peak category, rapid intensifier
AL031904 (1904)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, atlantic approach
AL071894 (1894)
peak 2 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, atlantic approach
AL111880 (1880)
peak 0 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, atlantic approach
Twin Key West (II) (1870)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 4 of 8
same month, atlantic approach
Eloise (1975)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, category within 1, rapid intensifier
Flossy (1956)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, same ENSO phase, rapid intensifier
AL141916 (1916)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, rapid intensifier
AL041877 (1877)
peak 3 · FL impact 3
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
same month, category within 1
AL031859 (1859)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach
AL021852 (1852)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 3 of 8
adjacent month, atlantic approach
Earl (1998)
peak 2 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
adjacent month, rapid intensifier
AL011885 (1885)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 2 of 8
atlantic approach
Agnes (1972)
peak 1 · FL impact 1
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
rapid intensifier
AL021916 (1916)
peak 3 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
category within 1
AL031912 (1912)
peak 0 · FL impact 1
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
adjacent month
AL011886 (1886)
peak 2 · FL impact 2
pre-1950 · reconstructed track
near-Florida path 0 of 2 · Straits approach 0 of 2 · trait match 1 of 8
rapid intensifier
Describe a Hypothetical Scenario
Scoring weighs month (2), peak category (2), approach side (2), and ENSO phase (1), plus an optional point for rapid intensifiers; each match explains exactly which traits it shares.
Pick at least one trait above to search. Example scenario: October, Category 4, Gulf approach, Neutral phase; three of the last five Gulf-side October majors will look uncomfortably familiar.
Wondering about a storm active right now? The home page shows the latest NHC observations with their historical analogs.